37 years ago the world witnessed the birth of the first “Islamic State” in Iran after the mullahs hijacked the 1979 revolution. Ever since the international community has been forced to cope with a rogue regime founded on the pillars of a domestic crackdown, and meddling and warmongering abroad.
To make its simple, the regime Iran is ruled by a system based on war and hatred, and is itself becoming a bete noire. An up-to-date and crystalized understanding of this regime allows us to comprehend the danger of this phenomenon, and how important and urgent is the need of firm and decisive action.
The Nuclear Agreement
While many may rush to conclusions over how Iran succeeded in the nuclear agreement after gaining a windfall of billions (with much going to terrorists), an in-depth look reveals how the mullahs’ reign of power was actually severely trembled as a result of this deal.
Supreme leader Ali Khamenei suffered a defeat and was forced to forgo many aspects of his cherished nuclear program, secretly in pursuit of atomic bombs. This was a defeat for the entire ruling establishment as Khamenei no longer enjoys his former posture.
The Iranian Resistance had first blown the whistle on Iran’s secret nuclear program back in 2002. Yet unfortunately, the international community has failed to show the proper response, and Tehran may even be taking advantage to secretly obtain nuclear weapons as we speak.
On the scope and possibility of religious and ethnic conflicts seen in the Middle East spreading to Iran, we have to notice that the conditions inside this country are quite different. The Iranian people come from various ethnic and religious backgrounds, all experiencing an intense crackdown from the ruling fundamentalists during the past 37 years.
Therefore, the common attribute seen amongst all of Iran’s ethnic minorities such as the Kurds, Baluchis, Arabs and others, parallel to religious minorities from Shiite and Sunni Islam and other religions, is first and foremost their dissent against the mullahs ruling Iran. This is exactly why the regime cannot resort to such deceptive methods, as its actions in other countries across the region show.
Reports of the Revolutionary Guards, heavily involved in meddling through its foreign wing Quds Force and its nebulous cells in many countries across Asia to Africa and South America, is certainly not pulling its troops out of Syria, as seen in various reports. The on-the-ground truth in Syria is the process of Iran ordering various units to replace others after suffering major casualties. The Revolutionary Guards will only ultimately pull out of Syria when Iran has realized it is facing a humiliating defeat.
One major factor is the continuing resistance of the Syrian people, their legitimate struggle and never-ending sacrifice for the cause of freedom. This has placed the IRGC and Khamenei facing a major quagmire in Syria, forcing Iran to dispatch its most senior IRGC brass. Most of the IRGC forces are not willing to fight in Syria, despite this force enjoying 650,000 soldiers. The regime’s casualties in Syria, with a high percentage consisting of senior IRGC commanders such as Hossein Hamedani and others, have all lowered their spirits and left no motivation.
Iran’S Expansionist Ambitions in the Region
Hostility and warmongering in the region, and creating bloodbaths for other nations, such as Syria and Iraq, are factors maintaining and motivating the dictatorship ruling Iran. Fueling such feuds in other countries provides a guarantee for the mullahs’ rule in Iran. This regime lacks the capacity to resolve domestic crises plaguing the society, and lacks the capacity and ability to address popular demands.
This is exactly why pressure from the international community and the domestic unrest forced Iran to back-step from its nuclear ambitions. To fill this void and compensate for this strategic defeat, the regime in Iran has resorted to attempts to create tension and hostility in the entire Middle East.
The Iranian opposition has for more than two decades warned of the mullahs’ strategy focusing on expansionism in the region to reach the coasts of the Mediterranean with its base in Lebanon through its support for the Hezbollah terrorist group. Iran understands perfectly well it is incapable of addressing domestic issues. As a result, it is using its hatred to push-out and transfer threats abroad throughout the region.
The Iran-Russia Competition
There is credible evidence pointing to major rifts between Iran and Russia. Trends show increasing disputes between Moscow and Tehran after the Kremlin decided to withdraw the bulk of its forces from Syria. The day Khamenei decided to involve Russia in the Syria war he had personally explained to Russian President Vladimir Putin in Tehran how his regime intends to fight to the very last IRGC member in Syria to maintain Bashar Assad in power.
As a reminder, Iranian regime founder Ruhollah Khomeini had also pledged to “fight to the very last house in Tehran” in the 1980s Iran-Iraq War. However, he was forced to accept a ceasefire agreement in 1988 and died a year later.
Now, one can easily understand how weak Iran’s position is, with barometers showing in Syria and the entire Middle East, also suffering setbacks in Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon. The status quo will only intensify and divides will only rip wider.
Relations With Saudi Arabia
The Middle East has only one major threat and enemy, being none other than the religious dictatorship ruling Iran.
Tehran has a history of supporting all dictators in the region, from Bashar Assad in Syria, Nouri al-Maliki in Iraq, Ali Abdullah Salah and the Houthis in Yemen, and the Lebanese Hezbollah in Lebanon. As a result, any firm policy to confront this regime is quite necessary and will ultimately play into the interests of nations across the region.
The recent stance adopted by Saudi Arabia, especially in forming an Arabic coalition and spearheading Operation Decisive Storm to confront the mullahs’ expansionist ambitions in Yemen, was a very positive initiative. The results are before us as the Houthis have accepted to abide by UNSC resolutions. Otherwise, Yemen would have most certainly become merely another province of Iran.
As the regime in Iran has based its rule on hatred and warmongering, the only language it understands is that of its own. The sword of Damocles threat from the Iranian regime is imminent if not addressed. Only firm and decisive policies, and not appeasement or rapprochement, will rein the mullahs in and return peace, stability and security to the Middle East and beyond.