Democrats Facing Downfall in November Poll

Pay no attention to the mainstream media’s attempts to save Democrats in November’s midterm elections; especially the Senate. This train wreck will be historic.

According to Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, Republicans have a “strong and increasing chance to control the next Senate,” he said Thursday. That could end up being the understatement of the decade.

“Our projection remains a five- to eight-seat Republican gain in the Senate, and with less than three weeks to go, we would much rather be holding the cards Republicans have been dealt versus the ones dealt to the Democrats as both sides play for a Senate majority,” Sabato wrote in his “Crystal Ball” analysis. The polling numbers in the last week alone support Sabato’s prediction.

There is no doubt that President Obama’s unpopularity will play a key role in several Senate races including North Carolina, Louisiana, Colorado and Arkansas. It will undoubtedly show up at the ballot box. Obama is producing the lowest approval ratings of his presidency. A new ABC News/Washington Post poll released Wednesday showed a paltry 40 percent of respondents approve of his job performance.

The main cause for this ongoing slide in public trust appears to be largely due to the president’s handling the Islamic State (ISIS) threat. Most experts expect a bigger drop with the new Ebola findings.

Many of the Senate races appear to be razor-thin including Georgia, Alaska, Kansas and South Dakota. But most polling experts feel that will change during the last few weeks of the campaigns in favor of the GOP. The Democrats need only 50 seats to maintain their majority, but Republicans need 51 seats due to Vice President Joe Biden’s tie-breaking vote.

Sabato predicts the Republicans will take over the majority by as little as one seat, but that is the bare minimum. Democrats presently hold leads in North Carolina, Michigan, Minnesota, and Oregon. That could change quickly with current events and the independent vote going strongly for the GOP in the waning days of the campaigns. “It’s not impossible to imagine the GOP having a good enough night that they get to 51 seats without Georgia or Louisiana,” said Sabato.

The Democrats’ strategy is to protect the incumbents. Their “change the subject” in tightly contested campaigns is void of any discussion concerning Obamacare, illegal immigration or the Middle East. Their “plan” has been to distract the voter with the “war on women” and other dreamed-up DNC talking points. It appears to be backfiring in states like Colorado.

Dwight L. Schwab Jr. is a moderate conservative who looks at all sides of a story, then speaks his mind. He has written more than 3500 national political and foreign affairs columns. His BS in journalism from the University of Oregon, with minors in political science and American history stands him in good stead for his writing.


Dwight has 30-years in the publishing industry, including ABC/Cap Cities and International Thomson. His first book, “Redistribution of Common Sense – Selective Commentaries on the Obama Administration 2009-2014,” was published in July, 2014. “The Game Changer – America’s Most Stunning Presidential Election in History,” was published in April 2017.


Dwight is a native of Portland, Oregon, and now a resident of the San Francisco Bay Area.