Crossfire War – PRISTINA – TIRANA – TEHRAN WATCH – Southeast Europe Theatre: Pristina – Tehran – Ankara – Tirana/(Brussels – Vienna – Warsaw)/Kosovska Mitrovica – Belgrade – Athens – Tehran – Moscow; Kosovo Albanian Leader Warns of Street Demonstrations as New Round of Negotiations Begin in London Tomorrow
Night Watch: PRISTINA – With hatred and tension rising within the Albanian community in Kosovo it is quite possible the 16,000 troops, from 35 nations and led by NATO could first have to confront thousands of demonstrators demanding immediate independence before any shooting gets started between Albanians and Serbs. This could take place on the eve of the latest round of negotiations that are due to begin Thursday in London between representatives from the U. S.-European Union-Russia, a preliminary session before the negotiations shift their venue to Kosovo then Serbia. Reuters quoted Veton Surroi a Kosovo Albanian senior politician seriously concerned about the very real possibility of violent demonstrations, “We have to be aware that fear is building among the people. The people of Kosovo have a right to put pressure on their institutions. There is a feeling they have sacrificed everything for the sake of Kosovo status. Not just the war, the burning and destruction, but every thing they have sacrificed over the past eight years…simply to have a status solution.” It is quite possible the demonstrators will concentrate their attention on international institutions and their presence in Kosovo, the United Nations-NATO-EU-OSCE (Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe) headquarted in Vienna. Vienna was the capital used for the negotiations over Kosovo that lasted more than a year resulting in the current re-armed impasse. It is an impasse that has more in common with a military standoff. [SWISSINFO]
Moscow has forced this latest round of negotiations due to Russia’s complete support of Serbia, which implies both Moscow and Belgrade are quite willing to see war over the issue, which is also quite true of the Albanian community in Kosovo and Albania. Those who have followed the conflict know the negotiation battlelines could not be more clearly drawn and not just between Pristina/Belgrade. Yugoslavia’s division divided more than Yugoslavia, but the entire European community from the Atlantic to the Urals. European division and war has been the result instead of European unity and cooperation. Kosovo insists on independence Serbia refuses, there is no way peace can be maintained as both sides have been arming and openly formed militia groups which of course have close ties to the regular armies of Albania and Serbia. Iran also has maintained close connections with both in order to take advantage of the next war to keep NATO confined in the Balkans and to use the war to silence Vienna where the United Nations agency is based that has been investigating Iran’s nuclear weapons program.
When it seemed Belgrade was going to start the war Tehran signed a security agreement with Serbia in January 2006 as did Athens last November, because it seemed the European Union-NATO, both headquarted in Brussels, was going to officially recognize Kosovo independence and with eventual UN approval. However, Belgrade kept stating if that happened war would resume. So as Brussels and the UN have delayed recognition it is now the Albanian community that is more inflamed and more likely to re-start the war, which is why Tehran has increased its military support of Albania, fully aware most of what Iran sends to Tirana will be used by nationalistic groups like the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA).
I suspect there is an understanding among the negotiators in London that they are not really in control of the situation but they have to go through the motions of finding a solution then when the shooting gets started, argue who is to blame. The blame should really be placed on the European Union, which led the decision to divide Yugoslavia at the end of the Cold War in 1990. That same year CNN showed a meeting, somewhere in Europe, between military representatives of NATO-Warsaw Pact members announcing they were going to merge their military commands. However, they wouldn’t say publicly how they were going to. Those making the announcement were actually laughing. It was envisioned to conduct an orchestrated crisis in the name of the New World Order, with 1992 designated as the year of European Unity but the war increased on the ground dividing the EU and NATO. The conflict, which began in 1991 between Croatia/Serbia, expanded further south with every round of fighting, that has increased the chances of a larger regional war, and one Tehran is prepared to enter.
In the process of this suspicious, evil with a clown face decision-making, Southeast Europe has become a trap for NATO just as Iraq has become for the lost alliance of London-Washington. There was actually a rare warning in 1998, as the strategic planners in NATO were preparing the next power projection further south against Serbia, in the name of helping Albanians, rather than planning to help Moscow secure the energy rich Caucasus away from Ankara-Tehran. The warning came from then U. S. Secretary of Defense William Cohen who stated if NATO deploys troops in south Serbia they could be attacked by both sides. There is a long historical imperial tradition of warnings being ignored. NATO governments deliberately ignored the war in the Caucasus knowing they would be confronting Iran, the last thing the West wanted because that would mean a major war instead of a minor crisis which they can use to engage in overkill. What is left of NATO’s disjointed command structure will be forced to face Iran in the Balkans.