Crossfire War – France FM ‘We Have to Prepare for the Worst’

Crossfire War – RAPID FIRE NEWS: PARIS – BERLIN – MOSCOW – WATCH – Eurasia Theatre; Paris – Berlin – Washington – Madrid – Rome – Tokyo – Moscow/(Vienna)/Ankara – Athens – Tbilisi – Tehran – THEATRE FRANCE – FM KOUCHNER “WE HAVE TO PREPARE FOR THE WORST” – Disagreements Within IAEA – Tehran States West Has Chosen Path of “Confrontation” – Iran Envoy Rouhani to Meet German FM in Berlin – Sanctions No Real Threat – Moscow Holds Nuclear Fuel for Bushehr in Siberia

Night Watch: PARIS – The international reality of the offensive military threat from Tehran has begun to dawn on the French establishment. It began to two years ago during the three weeks of rioting that Tehran had begin in a Paris suburb then spread to three hundred cities and towns across France, using the North African community, which had always been an outcast and on the fringes of society. During the disturbances, the French police discovered, south of Paris in the suburb Evry, a bomb-making factory in an abandoned building, gasoline bombs. An Iranian daily, Iran News printed at the time the idea behind the riots seem to be to make Paris look like Beirut in the 1980s or Sarajevo in the 1990s. It would of course take more than gasoline bombs for that to happen. Right after the riots, the news then mentioned French security was rehearsing a scenario of twenty car bombs exploding simultaneously in Paris. France President Jacques Chirac then spoke at a French nuclear submarine base and stated France has the right to make an attack on a nuclear threat. [ALJAZEERA]

Though France Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner is not being so obvious today he is not sounding that defensive, “We have to prepare for the worst, and the worst is war. We are trying to put in place plans, which are the privilege of Chiefs of Staff and that, is not for tomorrow. It is normal for us to plan. We have decided to…prepare ourselves for possible sanctions outside the UN sanctions and which will be European sanctions.” What has made Paris more alarmed is not only the continued nuclear warhead-ballistic missile production in Iran, but Tehran has continued to seriously attack and threaten governments in West Asia (Middle East) that have close relations with France. Tehran used the three month fighting at the Palestinian refugee camp-city Nahr al-Bared, outside Tripoli, by the suicide unit Fatah al-Islam, to remove the loyalty of Lebanon’s army to Prime Minister Fouad Siniora and Iran has recently staged a suicide assassination attempt against Algeria President Adelaziz Bouteflika.

I suspect Kouchner is also aware the Jihad is always offensive, having being stopped the first time at the battle of Tours in 732 AD by Charles Martel, and that sanctions have no real chance of convincing Tehran of ending its nuclear weapons program. Governments like Tehran and its foreign policy of chaos creation, whatever they have produced, they are going to use it and not mostly against Israel but against Iran’s main international rival, the West. Tehran intends to end France and the West’s ability to manipulate the region. The Ayatollah Khomeini was in exile in a Paris suburb when he overthrew the Shah of Iran. Khomeini arrived in October 1978 and was there for just four months. It was outside Paris where he received the communication assistance he needed in order to become the leader of the demonstrations in Tehran. The French and the West only wanted Khomeini to create disturbances in Central Asia to cause Moscow to make more invasions south, toward the Persian Gulf through Iran. Communist labor isn’t paid much, which reduces the cost of raw materials Russia exports to industry in the West.

Riyadh – Almost never do Iranian and Arab people work together but the Arab world has also hated the West for the same reason as Iranians, the West’s constant attempts to manipulate them and encourage regional instability. In an expression of the serious cooperation between Tehran and the House of Saud, Iran President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said in a phone call to Saudi King Amir Abdullah, “The Islamic Republic of Iran stands by the Saudi nation and is prepared to share experience with the country in nuclear technology under the IAEA supervision.” [BAZTAB]

Vienna – Tehran knows the United Nations International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is no threat and can do nothing except pretend to supervise. The London based publication The Economist has admitted serious disputes surfaced during the recent organization’s 35 nation board meeting and that there was never any chance of two of the more important members Russia-China, who also sit on the UN Security Council, of ever supporting economic sanctions. Moscow knows they will be ineffective and is preparing to meet militarily the current threat from Turkey-Iran-Georgia in the Caucasus and Beijing wants Tehran to weaken three of China’s rivals, the West-India-Russia. [BAZTAB]

The Economist of course refuses to discuss how easy it is to avoid sanctions because the engineering corporation headquarted in San Francisco that was invited to Iran, the day after the Gulf War ended in 1991, went through their London branch office, as shown on CNN, in order to evade the sanctions imposed on Iran by Washington. That was the reason London had no economic embargo and that is not a decision made by some local pub owner but by Britain’s established society actively in control of government foreign policy. That was the real reason the coalition was ordered to halt outside Baghdad and let Saddam remain for twelve more years as bases for Iran, some of them subterranean, were built by the construction firm. When the construction was completed, Saddam was then removed and the trapped occupation of Iraq begins. In 2002, I walked by the Paris branch office of the engineering company, No. 38 Rue Bassano, and the building was completely vacant. The French realized the mistake of selling the foreign policy to the enemy and it helped them to avoid the trap of Iraq. Since then the engineering firm has lost more than 50 employees in Iraq. Tehran does not want corporations they have employed and their owners serving the Allied war effort.

But because the West has done so much to help Iran prepare is the reason why their governments and their misinformed intelligence services blame Bin Laden for 9/11 and other terrorist attacks. Bin Laden can’t arrange anything like flight school training; it is Tehran that controls al-Qaeda.

Vienna – AP reports the Director of the IAEA Mohamed El Baradei has just been quoted as saying, “I would not talk about the use of force. There are rules on how to use force, and I hope that everybody will have gotten the lesson after the Iraq situation where 70,000 innocent civilians have lost their lives on the suspicion that a country has nuclear weapons.” A few years ago, as El Baradei was being awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, he said his conscience was clear, in other words don’t blame him. Therefore, he has convinced himself there is yet no proof Iran has nuclear weapons. [PRESSTV]

Tehran – Iran Oil Minister Gholamhossein Nozari remarked recently in regard to sanctions, “We have got used to US sanctions and have learned how to handle them.” The linked article mentioned in the past two years Iran’s oil industry has received 37 billion US dollars of investments, though it was mentioned on late last year Tokyo had decided to withdraw a 10 billion dollar investment from Iran and pulled out of a Persian Gulf oil project. China may currently be the largest foreign investor in Iran’s oil. [BAZTAB]

Vienna – Reza Aqazadeh, Iran’s Vice-President and head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, in his address in Vienna, warned the West by saying, “In this part of my statement, I will like to address to some Western countries the following; You have always chosen the confrontation path instead of the path of understanding and amity towards the great nation of Iran and in practice proved that you can not tolerate the addition of independent states and developing countries to the ongoing caravan of the access of this modern technology. We interpret all of the intimidations for threatening Iran as a weak point of our adversaries.” [BAZTAB]

Vienna – The complete text of Nozari’s speech can be accessed through the preceding link. His speech is close to Tehran stating if war comes, and we know it will, we are ready. All the years of negotiations, either with the UN or the three governments in the European Union-Paris-Berlin-London, the EU 3, were just used to deceive the enemy, something Persians have a genius for and to buy more time to prepare its nuclear weaponry. [IRNA]

Berlin – One of the Iranian officials who helped lead Tehran’s deceptive nuclear negotiations is Hassan Rouhani, former Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) and now head of Iran’s Expediency Council’s Center for Strategic Research. Two years ago, as Tehran’s leading nuclear negotiator against the EU 3, Rouhani was actually seen by a British journalist in Tehran laughing at the EU on Iranian television. Rouhani said Iran didn’t really suspend any production and used the negotiations to add more to Iran’s stockpile. He is now scheduled to visit Berlin, at the invitation of Germany’s Courber Foundation, to deceive German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier. I suspect Berlin realizes sanctions are not enough but Germany and France will apply some, and then prepare for war. [BAZTAB]

Moscow – Russia for year has been applying its own sanctions against Iran’s nuclear weapons program by witholding deliveries of nuclear fuel. An anonymous Russia official stated, “This nuclear fuel is being kept at Novosbirisk Chemical Concentrates Plant in Siberia.” The fuel is meant for Iran’s nuclear plant at Bushehr, a construction project under Moscow’s control and the nuclear dispute is just one of the reasons Moscow has refused to complete the facility. Russia has been fighting groups in the North Caucasus supported by Turkey-Iran since 1994 over control of the region’s energy fields. This is World War III’s most important regional theatre and one of the reasons I date the beginning of the war with 1994 is when fighting erupted in Chechnya that December. Ankara-Tehran have for more than a year shifted their support to Georgia, which has increased Tbilisi’s defense budget. Only when Tehran sees Moscow defeating Georgia will Iran then enter into serious negotiations to end the war.[PRESSTV]

Iran Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki is in Moscow meeting with Sergey Kiriyenko, head of the Russian Federal Atomic Energy Agency (Rosatom), in order to receive some indication on Moscow’s latest position. Mottaki may then be informed of Russia’s latest test of conventional vacuum bombs more powerful than nuclear ones.

Willard Payne is an international affairs analyst who specializes in International Relations. A graduate of Western Illinois University with a concentration in East-West Trade and East-West Industrial Cooperation, he has been providing incisive analysis to NewsBlaze. He is the author of Imagery: The Day Before.