Crossfire War: East Asia Theatre; Beijing – Serious Divisions Emerge Within China’s Government During 5th Plenum of the 16th Central Committee
Night Watch: More weaknesses inside China’s Central Government were exposed during the 5th Plenum of the 16th Central Committee.
Most of the criticism came from Vice-President Zeng Qinghong, who attacked Premier Wen Jiabao’s macro-economic policies that are supposed to increase the income of farmers. The infra-structure of coastal areas is still under developed and resources required by industry are scarce.
It was not reported if the Vice-President offered any solutions and it is possible that this is also a personal rivalry under the guise of policy disputes. But it is quite obvious that the government’s priorities have been wrong for quite some time. Increased spending for the military has long been the primary concern as other needs of the country were and remain neglected.
Even before the Central Government took power in 1949, power projection, and all of its costs and preparations, as opposed to neighboring countries, has been the premier policy and the reason for so much of the deterioration within the country. It is suspected that the real reason Beijing allowed the West to invest back into the country, in the early 1970’s, was to gain access to some of the latest military technology.
At the time China was engaging in serious border skirmishes with the Soviet Union and Beijing knew that Moscow had an advantage due to Russia’s massive contact with Western industrial services under the East-West Industrial Cooperation agreements that began right after the end of World War II.
More than just some skirmishing is about to take place with Japan and these serious internal disputes, within Beijing’s leadership, is just one of many indications that China’s Central Government has no chance of responding effectively. Beijing’s military leadership may blame its defeat on this “squabbling” and replace them with a military dictatorship in the name of order and stablilty. However its recognition by other regional and provincial capitals, around the country, would not be at all certain.
China is still ruled by regional elites that at times do acknowledge the Central Government, but once that acknowledgement is removed Chinese society reverts back to its ancient tradition of disunity and civil war. Powerful, emerging societies, that border the country, then exert their spheres of influence, if not rule, over the areas of China adjacent to them. Today the current example is Mongolia who at times expresses an interest in re-uniting with the rest of their people, the people of Inner Mongolia.
That is why after World War III ends, in a couple of years as the Jihad runs its course, the war may not be over further east. The action could then shift to this theatre, Eastern Central Asia, as Ulan Bator fills the vaccum Beijing leaves. The same thing happened at the end of the First World War. Though the fighting had ended on the Western Front it simply moved further east during the militaristic interim of the 1920’s – 30’s, in and around Russia, not to mention the military occupations of the Middle East.
Certain patterns remain constant, there are parallels in history.
Night Watch Information Service
Based in Flossmoor,IL 60422.