Republican Chances in Midterms Soar

It is no secret in June that the Democrat prediction of a “blue wave in November is ludicrous. Since that statement was first issued in November 2017, a number of stunning factors have laid waste to the Democrat strategy for a midterms election victory.

While it is conventional wisdom that the opposing party out of power gains seats, but that may not be the case in 2018. With the economy booming, unemployment at a record low and Trump’s approval rating steadily going up, the GOP is in the driver’s seat.

How large is the Trump “resistance” to begin with? Listening to CNN or MSNBC, it would appear the entire country is after the president with pitchforks and a rope. But all indications show that sentiment is not very large and restricted to some regional areas of the country.

The reasons are many for Democratic defeat in November. One big reason is the ‘generic voting.’ Republicans and Democrats are within the margin of error and it is only June. Those numbers alone provide ample proof the Dems have zero chance to win back either the House or the Senate.

The Democrats were counting on blue California to hand them the House. Every incumbent GOP Congressional seat except one received over 50 percent of the vote in their contested primaries. That all but wipes out any idea of keeping Republicans out of the top two spots on the November ballot.

Republican opposition has no campaign issues aside from hating Donald Trump. No ideas to help working class Americans, no ideas for job security or anything else. House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi already said the Democrats will raise Americans’ taxes. Besides, the RNC has raised $157.7 million this year compared to the DNC’s 42.4 million in cash. It tends to provide more proof “the resistance” hardly exists.

Hopeful Democrats like Hillary Clinton had predicted that Trump and his tax policies would kill 3.5 million jobs. It is now more than obvious the opposite has occurred. The country is enjoying a positive economic explosion the likes of which have not been seen in decades.

Trump’s approval rating, especially with women, has been trending upward. He is up eight points with women since December 2017, those aged 18-29, and those aged 50-64. It should be noted that those two age groups did not vote as a majority for Trump in 2016.

The entire scenario for a stunning victory for Republicans is at hand this November. In addition to the above good news, Trump travels to Singapore this Tuesday to meet with North Korean dictator Kim Jung Un. Should a meaningful peace be produced at that summit, Trump’s approval rating will most likely soar.

Dwight L. Schwab Jr. is a moderate conservative who looks at all sides of a story, then speaks his mind. He has written more than 3500 national political and foreign affairs columns. His BS in journalism from the University of Oregon, with minors in political science and American history stands him in good stead for his writing.


Dwight has 30-years in the publishing industry, including ABC/Cap Cities and International Thomson. His first book, “Redistribution of Common Sense – Selective Commentaries on the Obama Administration 2009-2014,” was published in July, 2014. “The Game Changer – America’s Most Stunning Presidential Election in History,” was published in April 2017.


Dwight is a native of Portland, Oregon, and now a resident of the San Francisco Bay Area.