Night Watch: MOSCOW – Viktor Orlov, director of the Center for Poltical Studies in Russia was quoted as saying, “The White House currently has 16 policies regarding Iran, ranging from participation in dialogue to pinpointing strikes against nuclear facilities. This means that the U.S. does not have a reasonable policy regarding this country.”
He concluded that he doubted if the U.S. would use force against Iran, “For a full-scale operation, the U.S. would need at least 400,000 soldiers that the country currently doesn’t have. A military operation in Iran is impossible under current conditions because the Americans will face a more complicated development of the situation than in Iraq.”
Orlov even referred to a U.S.-EU statement that Russia’s cooperation with Iran on its nuclear plant in Bushehr is a model for international coopertion and complies with all the regulations required by the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
This is why Iran has the initiative completely. The Jihad is as offensive as always, it hasn’t changed any, and Moscow is barely holding its own with increased fighting in Dagestan, bordering the oil rich Caspian Sea region. Loss of access to that area would deal a massive blow to Russia’s economy yet they have cooperated with Iran’s nuclear program.
In the meantime the EU is Iran’s leading trade partner which has also improved Iran’s industrial development and the lost alliance of London-Washington are marching to Iran’s agenda, defending a government in Baghdad controlled by Iran.
All of Eurasia knows that Saddam Hussein could have been removed in 1991 but Iran first wanted bases constucted for them like the ones the US built for Saudi Arabia. When the bases are completed Saddam Hussein is then removed using the lie of weapons of mass destruction. The center of those weapons, in the Islamic world, is obviously Iran, the result of a nearly 20-year old program and Tehran is now hinting they are willing to distribute them to Islamic countries.
Yet this grand confusion of the U. S – EU – Russia are trying to convince themselves they can deal their way out of all out war. Behind the scenes they may realize they have to prepare for the worst, which is why Russia is desperately trying to improve its military’s prepardness. But when the shooting really gets started, outside of Iraq, the lost alliance will be completely out of position and in more of a trap than it is now.
All they will be left with then is how to devise explanations for this obvious debacle. They lied their way into Iraq so they will be reduced to lying their way out, as they witness a decimation of their forces.
The grand confusion is faced with a government, the Council of Guardians, that thrive on crisis, which they use as a unifying and activating influence for the Islamic world. They know that war with the West will be even more popular than war with Israel.
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