Donald Trump Expected to Win Republican Presidential Nomination


Who would have believed it a few months ago?

If you asked conservatives then, what chance The Donald had of winning the GOP nomination, the answer just might have been a laugh. Fewer people are laughing now!

A new Rasmussen Poll just out shows 57 percent of Republican voters surveyed said they see Donald Trump winning the party’s presidential nomination next year.


That is huge. You could say even shocking. This early in the nomination process, a consensus like that is not usual.

The poll report tells us that 25 percent of respondents said the billionaire businessman was “very likely” to be the nominee. 1,000 adults were surveyed on Wednesday and Thursday in Rasmussen’s weekly survey. The margin of error for a sample that size is only 3 percentage points.

Trump failed to get his message across in previous campaigns, but he is better organized this time and the other candidates have their own baggage.

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It has only been a month since he made the announcement that he would run. At that time, only 9 percent said he was “very likely” to win the nomination, and another 18 percent said he was “likely” to win the nomination.

When these polling numbers came out this week, Rasmussen said, “Donald Trump has captured the public’s attention for better or worse, and his bid for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016, once seen as a pipe dream, is now a topic of serious discussion.”

What made Rasmussen say that was the fact that 49 percent of the respondents said they believed Trump would be the nominee. The number that said he is “very likely” the nominee, is now 17 percent, 8 points more than just a month ago.

Donald Trump is being laughed at and yelled at by the GOP hierarchy, by the other GOP candidates and by most democrats. Trump doesn’t care, in fact, we is probably very happy about it, because they are giving him publicity.

He is on a roll.

His numbers are looking good this early, just one month since the threw his hat in the ring. His challenge is to hold on and keep making gains.

He isn’t home yet, though, because 48 percent of respondents said he is not likely to win the nomination, That includes 21 percent who said the possibility “is not at all likely.”

A lot will have to change to shake those people from that belief.

Dwight L. Schwab Jr. is a moderate conservative who looks at all sides of a story, then speaks his mind. His BS in journalism from University of Oregon, with minors in political science and American history stands him in good stead for his writing.

Dwight has 30 years in the publishing industry, including ABC/Cap Cities and International Thomson. A native of Portland, Oregon, and now a resident of the San Francisco Bay Area.

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