Crossfire War – ANKARA WATCH – Eurasia Theatre: Ankara – Baghdad – Tehran/Rome – Delhi – Moscow; Tehran Amb. to Ankara Announces Islamic Axis Control Over “Key Points in World Geo-Politics” – Therefore Can Control the Whole World
Night Watch: ANKARA – Tehran Ambassador to Ankara Firouz Dolatabadi stated, while addressing Turkish journalists, professors and researchers, that Iran-Turkey-Iraq were “key points in World geo-politics” and that whoever dominates over this geography can control the whole world. He continued, “History has it that whenever Iran and the Ottoman Empire had good relations we would witness good developments in the region.” Implied in his observation is that the developments principally benefit both governments. [IRNA]
There is a lot of truth to what His Excellency says. Tehran-Ankara are in complete agreement on Iraq. Neither government wanted to see London-Washington occupy the economy of an Islamic country. Ankara’s opposition to the occupation was just more private. They never allowed Washington to use bases in Turkey to finally remove Saddam. I don’t think Washington made any threats to Ankara. There is a limit to countries Washington can threaten in a day, not to mention in the course of its convoluted foreign policy. Ankara is currently preparing to follow up on their interventions in northern Iraq against Kurdish groups who cooperate with Kurdish separatists in southeastern Turkey. Tehran has also engaged in action against Kurdish groups along their border with northeastern Iraq. Both governments will call their cooperation against the Kurds a stablizing influence.
All this is taking place as London-Washington ignore northern Iraq and the Kurdish flags flying there and concentrate on trying to win the battle of Baghdad. In the meantime Baghdad’s Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki flaunts his open cooperation with Tehran knowing that they can guarantee more security than London-Washington, who in their insulated thinking, divine that somehow they can emerge victorious instead of realistically acknowledging their defeat and cutting and running as quickly as possible.
The lost alliance, US/UK, can’t face the realization that this is the worst defeat in their modern history and that they are trapped in a crossfire in a country with two wars going on simutaneously. The war they are trying to win in Baghdad, with the occasional mission in another province, with an Iraqi military of divided loyalties and the religious-ethnic war going on around them in Baghdad and around the country. Ankara’s blatant, bold intervention in northern Iraq will only add to the embarrassment and to London-Washington’s confusion. Parallel to this are the economic-security agreements Shi’ite Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has been openly making with Tehran. He is obviously Tehran’s man in Baghdad.
Each day Tehran-Ankara’s sphere of influence increases in Baghdad – Iraq, as the area controlled by London-Washington decreases as they intend to hand their defeat over to Baghdad. The administration of Nuri al-Maliki is a government in name only, whose decision making is paralyzed by the warring political coalitions within the “government” some of whom are directly controlled by Tehran, exactly what al-Maliki (Baghdad)-Ankara-Tehran intended. It was programmed to collaspe with Tehran-Ankara filling the vacuum. The longer London-Washington remain in Iraq the more of a defeat they will experience and not just in Iraq.
His Excellency Firouz Dolatabadi concluded his remarks with a telling hint about Turkey-Iran controlling events in the region and therefore the world. “The two sides have many things in common about security in Iraq and the whole region.” He then noted the close positions between both governments on recent developments in Lebanon, cooperation Brussels, NATO headquarters, may not want to admit. Europe, as well as Dolatabadi and the Turkish professionals in assembly, are aware that if you control the world’s most strategic region you definitely become the most powerful governments in the world. Both Turkey-Iran supported Hezbollah in its war against Israel and they know the next round of fighting could break out any moment. Recently Syria President Bashar al-Assad stated that Israel is preparing to attack Syria. Today over at Debka.com it stated that Jerusalem expects Hezbollah to perhaps restart the fighting this weekend.
In the meantime neither Tehran or Ankara supported the West’s attempt to isolate Damascus. Both capitals openly and defiantly flaunted their substantial economic contacts with Syria as they visited the country and its leadership regularly. They also know that the next planned phase of war against Israel will engulf the European forces who have entered West Asia (Middle East) through Lebanon, using UNIFIL, in their attempt to reassert the West’s influence in the region, which is a direct challenge to the Tehran-Ankara Axis that intends to control Beirut just as they are now doing with Baghdad. For that reason Iran-Turkey are in complete support of Syria-Hezbollah. Ankara even stated that security in the Eastern Mediterranean is Turkey’s responsibility, not the European-US fleet that has assembled off Lebanon.
But the sphere of this combative Islamic Axis’ influence extends beyond West Asia into Southeast Europe and beyond through the Balkans. Crossfirewar.com has been a consistent chronicle of the military cooperation between Tehran-Belgrade ever since they signed a security agreement in January, one that Ankara is in complete accord with. Ankara wants to see NATO defeated and they know that the main battlefield to do so is the Balkans. A theatre of war that was created by the regressive decision that divided Yugoslavia, a decision that was proudly led by the West. Ankara’s membership in NATO enables them to keep Tehran informed of the alliance’s latest decisions, including whatever they can raise concerning Central Asia-Afghanistan.
This is what His Excellency meant by controlling the whole world. Ankara-Tehran are now in a very real position to interfere, disrupt and attack any decision made by the West-Russia-India. Iran-Turkey can do so directly or through groups they finance – arm or both. In Afghanistan they want Brussels’ power projection to be kept busy, which reduces NATO’s presence in the Mediterranean – Southeast Europe – Aegean-Black Sea region, all four of whom offer much more to the global economy than opium. Perhaps that’s what the West’s leadership in Brussels was injecting when they made these delusional decisions.
Of equal importance as to why Turkey is in such strategic partnership with Iran is that the European Union, for the past 40 years, always found reasons to reject Turkey’s membership. They seem to like to relive fond, prejudiced memories of hating the Ottoman Empire and every Balkan capital, including Athens, which has no problem with Tehran’s nuclear weapons program. Athens never agreed with the 78 day bombing of Serbia and also opposes the continued UN/EU/NATO military occupation of Yugoslavia and would not mind if Vienna is silenced. Last year crossfirewar.com reported Athens-Ankara conducted joint maneuvers in Kosovo. Greek units stayed in barracks named after an Ottoman Emperor.
The other front where Turkey-Iran will have a direct impact is in South Asia through Pakistan. Tehran-Ankara have substantial military contact with Islamabad on Pakistan’s command level. With the increase in infiltration by Islamic militant units based in Pakistan’s part of Kashmir, Tehran-Ankara-Islamabad know that Delhi will be forced to implement its hot pursuit policy and attack militant bases inside Pakistan which are adjacent to Pakistan regiments. Islamabad has stated all along if that ever happens they will be forced to respond and their head of state is the general, President Pervez Musharraf, who planned the Kargil fighting in 1999, the military probe in Kashmir, that tested India’s readiness.
A Deutsch Bank study reported that India did not respond adequately due to their neglecting their conventional forces for the sake of their nuclear-missile programs. It has even been acknowledged by Security-Risk Journal, operated by retired Indian Brigadier Rahul Bhonsle, that India does not manufacture indigenously one major conventional weapons system and is therefore extremely dependent on overseas purchases, mostly from Russia. Pakistan on the other hand seems to have prepared more seriously and is ready to take full advantage of the Khomeini revolution in Iran 1979, that established Tehran’s current government. [SecurityRisks]
Tehran has just completed its five week wargames and today is celebrating the 1980-88 Iran/Iraq war that began on this day, September 22. They refer to that war as one imposed on them by Iraq’s invasion but Tehran is grateful, as was Khomeini, who called it a “gift from Allah” because it re-united Iran and saved Khomeini’s government, which would have collasped due to serious internal disputes. During the wargames Tehran displayed virtually every type of weapon in its arsenal, except of course their nuclear warheads for their ballistic missiles. The first launches I suspect will be targeted at India since the monsoon season is ending creating the best climate for war on the subcontinent. Ramadan also begins Sunday which creates the best spiritual-emotional atmosphere for those who are answering the call of the Jihad, which is always offensive. Tehran obviously intends to do the imposing this time.
The only Allied capital seriously preparing to confront this offensive geo-political reality is Moscow, who has the full industrial-financial support from Berlin. But it is limited as to how many air-ground units Berlin can commit to the Central Asia – Caucasus theatre, since war is about to resume in the former Yugoslavia. Earlier this year crossfirewar.com reported on a statement from Russia’s leading air force general that Russia will be able to double its air forces in Central Asia in 2007. That is five years after Moscow took a major step in preparing its military response to regional threats in Central Asia with the formation of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), formed in October 2002. It has organized Central Asian capitals into a regional security organization designed to counter threats from Islamic extremists groups. Best of all, it operates independently of NATO. [RIA]
Tashkent, Uzbekistan’s capital, has just announced its full cooperation, which has added enormous weight to Moscow’s position throughout the entire region and of the banking-industrial groups in the West who finance Moscow, principally the Paris Club. Not only is Uzbekistan the world’s fifth largest producer of gold, but they also have the largest population in the region and is the base of the largest Islamic fundamentalist group that occasionally attempts to overthrow every government in Central Asia. No doubt that Tehran-Ankara have some contact with them but Tehran seems to be indicating that defeating Moscow is not the main objective of their foreign policy. And that at the end of the day, as the Jihad runs its course in the coming year, Tehran and Moscow will enter negotiations that will end the war along the lines of regional economic cooperation.
Tehran will openly acknowledge Moscow’s victory by reintroducing them to every government in West Asia, Northern and Northeast Africa. It will be a final insult to the West.