Crossfire War – TEHRAN WATCH – Northeast Africa Theatre: Tehran – Tripoli – Ankara – Damascus – Khartoum/Cairo; Mubarak Isolated – Sudan – Iran Sign Military Memorandum of Understanding on Regional (Mubarak) Developments – Head of Arab League in Tripoli for Discussions on post – Mubarak Egypt – Allies in Position to Offer Mubarak Sympathy – Excuses and Exile – Nothing Else
Night Watch: TEHRAN – Iran and Sudan have just signed, in Tehran, a Defense Cooperation Memorandum of Understanding. It makes official what had been developing for 20 years, ever since Khartoum established a fundamentalist Islamic government in support of the 1979 revolution in Iran led by the Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. The signing was part of the second round of operational planning sessions between Sudan Defense Minister Abdelrahim Mohamed Hussein and Iran Defense Minister Brigadier General Mostafa Mohammed-Najjar. Hussein also had an extensive meeting with the Commander of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corp Major General Yahya Rahim Safavi. The memorandum is as serious as Tehran’s security agreements with Damascus-Islamabad-Tbilisi-Belgrade. [IRNA]
Tehran and other Islamic governments, that support the Jihad, are finalizing the isolation of the one Islamic head of state that has failed to give any support to Islamic government’s war against the West-Israel, Egypt President Hosni Mubarak. With Lebanon Prime Minister Fouad Siniora under siege in Beirut, Mubarak is the last friendly Islamic head of state in the entire region, especially since even moderate Islamic governments want the Jihad to be at least moderately successful in ending the West’s ability to control and manipulate the region at will as they have done for so long. Mubarak has never made any secret of his hating Islamic radicalism ever since they assassinated his predecessor Anwar al-Sadat in 1981 and those who did so cited Khomeini as one of their inspirations.
Also in the immediate area, discussing post-Mubarak Egypt, is the Secretary General of the Arab League Amr Moussa. He arrived in Tripoli from Cairo after I assume an unsatisfactory meeting with Egyptian officials as they compared projections as to how regional events should continue to unfold. Moussa, in the Libyan capital, will be meeting head of state Colonel Muammar Gaddafi and they can come to no other conclusion but to acknowledge that Mubarak left Islamic thought quite some time ago and there is no bringing him back. I suspect they are discussing potential replacements. [AKI]
Passing through Damascus, in the coming war days, will be Ali Larijani Iran National Security Council President and Tehran’s leading nuclear negotiator. Ostensibly, he is to just deliver a letter to Syria President Bahsar al-Assad, the contents of which could be an offer of congratulations on starting the next wave of war against Israel. A wave that will sweep away Hosni Mubarak and any remaining influence the West has in the region. [AKI]
The military Axis, directed by Tehran is complete. Tripoli’s role will probably not be officially revealed until the shooting gets started. It will be a shock to the West since for the past four years Gaddafi joined Islamic governments campaign of deception as most of them pretended to work with the international community in preventing the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. Gaddafi allowed Washington to destroy some of his advanced weaponry then welcomed corporations from all over the West to invest again in Libya’s oil industry. The charade has worked, it was what the West wanted to see and hear, but behind the scenes, Gaddafi has the same international-regional view as Tehran.
When the next regional war begins the entire West can offer Mubarak will be some sympathy, excuses and if he survives an exile. Tehran will make certain the EU- NATO is kept busy in the Balkans and will also attack the European UNIFIL forces based in Lebanon. The Operation Bright Star maneuvers the West has been conducting with Egypt, since 1982, in the Eastern Mediterranean, will have no chance to be put into real action. If Mubarak cannot escape then he will probably curse those who unleashed the extremism he has always viewed as a threat and tried to suppress. The West had Khomeini in a Paris suburb for four months and provided him with the communication assistance he needed when he overthrew the Shah of Iran. That conspiracy laid the foundation for this war.