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Fitch Downgrades Anmed Health, SC's Revs to 'A+'; Outlook Stable

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NEW YORK - (BUSINESS WIRE) - In the course of ongoing surveillance, Fitch Ratings has downgraded to 'A+' from 'AA-' the following South Carolina Jobs-Economic Development Authority (SC) bonds issued on behalf of AnMed Health (AnMed):

--$36,570,000 hospital refunding revenue bonds, series 2010;

--$34,585,000 hospital refunding revenue bonds, series 2009a;

--$112,000,000 hospital refunding revenue bonds, series 2009b;

--$56,650,000 hospital refunding revenue bonds, series 2009c;

--$18,755,000 hospital refunding revenue bonds, series 2009d.

The rating for some of these series of bonds is an underlying rating. The Rating Outlook is Stable.

SECURITY:

Bonds are secured by AnMed Health's revenues and a negative pledge on assets, excluding standard permitted encumbrances.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

OPERATING PERFORMANCE REMAINS SOFT: AnMed had breakeven operations over the past two audited years as gains from its affiliation with Carolinas Healthcare System (Carolinas) were offset by flat inpatient volumes, cuts to Medicaid, and continued stress in the overall economy as reflected in high levels of self-pay, Medicaid, and bad debt.

OTHER METRICS SOLIDLY 'A' CATEGORY: Maximum annual debt service (MADS) coverage of 3.6 times (x), MADS as a percent of revenues of 3.3%, and Debt to EBITDA of 4.4x at fiscal year end 2011 (Sept. 30 year end) are significantly below 'AA' category medians, but compare more favorably to 'A' category medians.

LIQUIDITY MIXED: AnMed's days cash on hand (DCOH) of 276.3 remains a significant credit strength, while its cushion ratio and cash to debt are nearing 'A' category medians.

MARKET SHARE PRIMARY CREDIT STRENGTH: AnMed maintains a dominant 76.1% inpatient market share (2010 data) in its primary service area of Anderson County. The unemployment rate in Anderson County has come down over the past two years but remained above 9% in November 2011. However, Fitch believes the longer-term demographics of the area should remain stable with a growing employer base as the area continues to benefit from its location along the I-85 corridor.

STABLE OUTLOOK: Fitch believes that AnMed has financial flexibility at the 'A+' rating level and expects operational, liquidity, and capital metrics to remain stable and even show slight improvement over the next two years.

Credit Profile

The downgrade to 'A+' reflects operating results that are below Fitch's 'AA' category medians, coupled with an overall financial profile more consistent with the 'A' category. Credit strengths include AnMed's dominant market position, excellent DCOH, and affiliation with Carolinas.

Fitch expected AnMed's operating performance to improve upon its affiliation with Carolinas in fiscal 2009. However, AnMed ended fiscal 2011 with a negative 0.3% operating margin and a 9.8% operating EBITDA margin. Both figures were lower than AnMed's operating results in fiscal 2009 (1% operating margin, 10.1% operating EBIDA) and 2010 (0.5% operating margin, 10.9% operating EBITDA) and also trailed Fitch's 'AA' category medians of 4.3% and 10.6%, respectively,

AnMed did benefit from the Carolinas affiliation in revenue cycle initiatives and supply chain savings. But AnMed's operating performance was lower due to a midyear 7% cut in Medicaid reimbursement by the State of Carolina and the continued migration of inpatient services to lower reimbursed outpatient settings. Additionally, AnMed acquired a cardiology practice, which negatively affected fiscal 2011 results, but the practice should be accretive to AnMed's performance over the longer term.

AnMed did reduce staff by 185 employees through a combination of attrition, early retirement, and layoffs, but the impact of the reductions will be felt in fiscal 2012. Three-month fiscal 2012 results are solid with a 3.1% operating margin and a 12.9% operating EBITDA margin. These results are consistent with fiscal 2011's first quarter figures, before the Medicaid cuts took affect. At the moment, there are no plans for additional Medicaid cuts from the state for fiscal 2012. AnMed is budgeting for a 2% operating margin (inclusive of one-time Federal 'meaningful use' funds) in fiscal 2012, which Fitch believes is achievable.

The negative impact of the Medicaid cuts on operating performance reflects on AnMed's elevated levels of Medicaid, self-pay, and bad debt, which have been an ongoing credit concern. In fiscal 2011, Medicaid and self-pay combined for a total of 17.6% of gross revenues and bad debt as a percent of revenue was a very high 20%, significantly above Fitch's 'AA' median of 5.6%.

Most of AnMed's other liquidity and capital ratios are consistent with Fitch's 'A' category. AnMed had DCOH on hand of 286.7 ($275.6 million in unrestricted cash and investments) as of Dec. 31, 2011, which exceeds the category median and is a credit strength. Its cushion ratio of 17.2x and cash to debt of 108.9% compare well to 'A' category medians of 15.4x and 113.8%, respectively. Fiscal 2011 year end capital ratios including MADS coverage of 3.6x, MADS as a percent of revenues of 3.3%, and Debt to EBITDA of 4.4x, also compare well to 'A' category medians of 3.7x, 2.9%, and 3.4x, respectively.

The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's belief that AnMed's current financial profile will remain stable over the medium term supported by its dominant inpatient market share (76.1% in 2010), continued benefits from the Carolinas affiliation, and physician growth. In addition to the cardiology practice, AnMed expects to add two neurologists as well as increase its base of employed physicians. Currently AnMed employs 98 physicians, approximately 25% of its medical staff. AnMed has also contracted with a new group of hospitalists starting Oct. 1, who are expected to provide better support to the primary care community physicians, which Fitch views positively.

AnMed's capital needs over the medium term are manageable. AnMed has a solid history of investing in its plant and its largest capital expense over the next year will be $7 million for a state of the art radiation oncology machine. AnMed has invested in information technology as well and expects to attest to 'meaningful use' within the current fiscal year. The manageable capital needs lends further stability to the rating at the current level.

AnMed has total long-term debt of $258.6 million. Approximately 43% percent ($110 million) of AnMed's long-term debt is variable rate demand bonds supported by letters of credit (LOCs) from Branch Banking & Trust Company (Issuer Default Rating of 'A+/F1' by Fitch). The LOCs expire in March 2012, and AnMed is in the process of exploring other potential LOC providers. The renewal or replacement of the LOCs is not a credit concern. AnMed has one fixed payor swap with a notional value of $55.7 million. The counterparty is Citigroup, Inc. (IDR of 'A/F1' by Fitch). The mark to market as of Dec. 31, 2011 was a negative $11.1 million. The collateral posting threshold is $15 million.

AnMed Health is comprised of two separately licensed facilities consisting of 533 licensed (385 staffed) beds located in Anderson, SC, approximately 30 miles south of Greenville. Total revenue equaled approximately $481.7 million in fiscal 2011. AnMed Health covenants to disclose only annual information to EMMA and disclosure to date has been timely. AnMed does not covenant to disclose quarterly information, which Fitch views negatively. However, management does voluntarily disclose quarterly information including balance sheet, income statement, cash flows statement, utilization indicators and a management discussion and analysis.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. The ratings above were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been compensated for the provision of the ratings.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

--'Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria', dated June 20, 2011;

--'Nonprofit Hospitals and Health Systems Rating Criteria', dated Aug. 12, 2011.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=637130

Nonprofit Hospitals and Health Systems Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=648836

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.

Fitch Ratings
Primary Analyst
Gary Sokolow
Director
+1-212-908-1186
Fitch, Inc.
One State Street Plaza
New York, NY 10004
or
Secondary Analyst
Eva Thein
Senior Director
+1-212-908-0674
or
Committee Chairperson
Emily Wong
Senior Director
+1-212-908-0651
or
Media Relations:
Sandro Scenga, +1-212-908-0278 (New York)
sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com



 
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