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Fitch Affirms Shannon Health System's (TX) Revs at 'BBB+'; Outlook Remains Stable

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CHICAGO - (BUSINESS WIRE) - As part of its ongoing surveillance efforts, Fitch Ratings has affirmed the following bonds issued on behalf of Shannon Health System (SHS) at 'BBB+':

--$14,660,000 Tom Green County Health Facilities Development Corporation hospital revenue bonds, series 2001.

The Rating Outlook remains Stable.

RATING RATIONALE:

--The 'BBB+' reflects SHS's leading market position, adequate liquidity metrics, low debt burden with strong coverage, and strong support from the Shannon Trust, against a challenging payor mix and a history of inconsistent operating performance.

--SHS maintains the leading market share of approximately 65% in its primary service area.

--Days of cash on hand (DCOH) is light, but cushion ratio and cash to debt are well above the 'BBB' median level.

--SHS's strong debt service coverage and leverage metrics meet or exceed the medians for the category, especially due to SHS's rapid paydown of its existing debt.

--SHS relies heavily on government payors, which represented a high 58.1% of gross revenues in fiscal 2010, making it highly vulnerable to changes in state and federal reimbursement levels.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

--The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation that SHS will continue to generate positive operating margins. Positive operating cash flow against modest capital needs should support balance sheet preservation.

--The extent to which SHS is able to successfully offset anticipated reductions in Medicaid, disproportionate share hospital (DSH) and upper payment limit (UPL) payments from the state could impact the rating.

SECURITY:

The bonds are secured by a pledge of gross revenues and a mortgage on all real property of the obligated group.

CREDIT SUMMARY:

The affirmation at 'BBB+' reflects SHS's solid liquidity position relative to debt, low debt burden, improving operations, and strong debt service coverage for the rating category. As of the fiscal year ending Sept. 30, 2010 (draft audit), SHS had approximately $62.2 million in unrestricted cash and investments and $17.6 million in total outstanding debt, which improved to $64.9 million in unrestricted cash against $13.7 million in total debt as of the three-month interim period ending Dec. 31, 2010. In the three-month interim period, SHS's liquidity relative to its debt position was strong as demonstrated by 473.3% cash to debt and a 24.6 times (x) cushion ratio. Both metrics were well above Fitch's 'BBB' category medians of 8.5x and 75.9%, respectively. In fiscal 2010, approximately $4.5 million in notes payable to the Shannon Trust was forgiven, which reduced maximum annual debt service (MADS) to $2.6 million, which was less than 1% of total revenue in fiscal 2010. Debt to capitalization and debt to EBITDA improved to 9.4% and 0.9x respectively, as of Dec. 31, 2010, which both compare favorably against Fitch's 'BBB' medians of 50.1% and 4.5x, respectively. Additionally, debt was further reduced as of Dec. 31, 2010 to $13.7 million. MADS coverage by EBITDA was a very strong 7.4x in fiscal 2010, ahead of 2.4x in prior year, and was 7.6x for the interim period. In May 2011, SHS may exercise its option to redeem the remaining outstanding debt at 101% of par, and currently has no plans for additional debt.

SHS continues to have the leading market position in its service area. In 2010, Shannon had an approximate 65% total market share in its PSA, which has been consistently maintained since the initial rating in 2001. SHS's primary competitor, San Angelo Community Medical Center, had a market share of approximately 35% in fiscal 2010, which was unchanged from fiscal year (FY) 2006. An additional positive rating factor is the strong support SHS has historically received from the Shannon Trust (Trust). SHS received approximately $6 million in contributions from the Trust for capital expenditures in fiscal 2010, ahead of the $5.7 million received in fiscal 2009.

Credit concerns include an erratic profitability trend, an unfavorable payor mix, and an economically challenged service area. After generating operating losses from fiscal 2006-2009, SHS recorded a modest 1.4% operating margin ($4.4 million in operating income) in fiscal 2010, driven primarily by rigorous expense controls, revenue cycle improvements, improved documentation and billing practices, and clinical volume growth. Despite an increase in ambulatory volumes, management was able to carve out $1.5 million in supply costs, which helped boost revenue by 7.7% over prior year against a 5.5% increase in total expenses. Further, days in accounts receivable were reduced to a very low 35.6 in fiscal 2010, from 39.1 in fiscal 2009. Continued operational improvement will depend upon SHS's ability to maintain cost controls, and successfully recruit, retain, and ramp-up physician practices rather than depending on agency (locum tenen) physicians as in prior years.

SHS continues to be challenged by its service area. Located in San Angelo, SHS serves a wide West Texas service area with both relatively stagnant population growth and below-average wealth indicators, reflected in a high 10.6% Medicaid and 8.9% self-pay payor percentage in 2010. Further, SHS anticipates that a constrained state budget will negatively impact Medicaid reimbursement, and could also impact DSH/UPL payments. SHS received $15.5 million in DSH/UPL payments in fiscal 2010, equating to approximately 4.9% of net patient revenues. SHS's future profitability is extremely vulnerable to changes in state and federal reimbursement methodology given the hospital's exposure to governmental payors.

The Stable Rating Outlook reflects Fitch's belief that SHS will continue to generate positive operating margins and cash flow at adequate levels to support capital expenditures, via successful physician recruitment and continued cost controls. Further, Fitch expects SHS's liquidity position will remain strong relative to the organization's outstanding debt, or that SHS will utilize its liquid resources and available funds from the Trust to retire its debt in 2011. Finally, Fitch believes that SHS has some operational flexibility to offset anticipated reductions in reimbursement from the state; however, a significant deterioration in operating profitability as a result of these challenges would pressure the rating.

Headquartered in San Angelo, Texas, SHS is a full-service health care delivery system operating a 421-licensed bed hospital, multi-specialty physician clinic, health plan, and other related entities. The obligated group includes only the corporate parent and the hospital, and accounted for 91.9% of the system's assets and 72.4% of revenues in fiscal 2010. SHS's total revenues in unaudited fiscal 2010 were approximately $318 million. Annual financial information is provided within 150 days of its fiscal year-end and quarterly disclosure within 60 days of quarter-end, via the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board's EMMA system.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'

This action was informed by the sources of information identified in the Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

--'Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria', dated Oct. 8, 2010.

--'Nonprofit Hospitals and Health Systems Rating Criteria', dated Dec. 29, 2009.

For information on Build America Bonds, visit www.fitchratings.com/BABs.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=564565

Nonprofit Hospitals and Health Systems Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=493186

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.

Fitch Ratings
Primary Analyst
Emily E. Wadhwani, +1-312-368-3347
Associate Director
Fitch, Inc.
70 W. Madison Street
Chicago, IL 60602
or
Secondary Analyst
Carolyn Tain, +1-415-732-7576
Senior Director
or
Committee Chairperson
Emily Wong, +1-212-908-0651
Senior Director
or
Media Relations:
Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526
Email: cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com



 
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