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Fitch Affirms HTH Learning's (California) Revs at 'BB+'; Outlook Stable

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NEW YORK - (BUSINESS WIRE) - Fitch Ratings has affirmed the 'BB+' rating on the following series of educational facility revenue bonds bonds issued by the California Municipal Finance Authority on behalf of HTH Learning (HTH):

--$4.4 million (High Tech High projects), series 2008A (Media Arts);

--$18.5 million (High Tech High projects), series 2008B (Chula Vista);

--$350,000 (High Tech High projects), series 2008C (Chula Vista taxable).

The Rating Outlook is Stable.

RATING RATIONALE:

--The 'BB+' rating primarily reflects the limited nature of the revenue pledge protecting bondholders and the need for established institutions within the High Tech High group of schools (of which HTH is the parent) to continue to subsidize High Tech High Chula Vista High School (Chula Vista), which opened in August 2007;

--Counterbalancing the credit concerns are HTH's long operating track record and market position as demonstrated by its growing enrollments, especially at Chula Vista which has exceeded initial enrollment targets;

--HTH's financial plan remains vulnerable to unexpected changes in enrollment and fairly aggressive expansion plans which have increased its financial leverage. These concerns, however, are partially mitigated by HTH's experienced management team and continued strong demand for its schools.

KEY RATING DRIVERS:

--Maintenance of student demand and continued achievement of enrollment targets;

--Continued ability of established HTH institutions to make the annual subsidy to Chula Vista.

SECURITY:

The series 2008A bonds and the series 2008B and 2008C bonds (the bonds) are separately secured. Lease payments received by HTH from High Tech High Media Arts (Media Arts) secure the series 2008A bonds. Lease payments received by HTH Learning from Chula Vista secure the series 2008B and 2008C bonds. Upon the repayment or refinancing of outstanding senior series 2005 bonds (not rated by Fitch), which HTH covenants to effectuate by Dec. 1, 2014, the bonds will be secured on a parity, senior lien basis by gross revenues of HTH. Additional security provisions include a deed of trust over the Chula Vista facility and a cash funded debt service reserve.

CREDIT SUMMARY:

Student demand remains strong throughout the eight schools within the High Tech High group (the Group). Since its opening at the beginning of the 2008 academic year, Chula Vista, the second newest school within the Group, and the beneficiary of the series 2008B and C bond proceeds, has continued to experience significant enrollment growth. For the 2010 academic year, Chula Vista reached 606 students, exceeding its initial projection of 530. Media Arts, which opened in 2004 and was the beneficiary of the series 2008A bond proceeds, exceeded its 2010-2011 budget of 392, with 410 students currently enrolled. The older, more established HTH schools are mostly operating at capacity, experiencing moderate to flat enrollment growth over the past few years. Overall enrollment at HTH's eight schools grew 31.5% to 3,799 in the 2010-2011 school year, from 2,890 students in 2008-2009. Enrollment growth has been driven largely by the opening of new schools, including new middle and high schools at Chula Vista and High Tech High North County (North County), as well as expansion of existing schools such as Media Arts.

Strong enrollment growth enabled Chula Vista to generate a positive operating margin over the past three fiscal years. Nevertheless, the school still, as expected, requires a subsidy from the other HTH institutions (excluding Media Arts) to meet its annual lease payment obligation to HTH. HTH committed to provide up to $600,000 annually to Chula Vista, which it fully provided in fiscal years 2008 and 2009, the school's first two years of operations. As a result of the school's success to date, HTH was able to reduce the subsidy in fiscal 2010 to $550,000, with a further decrease to $500,000 expected for fiscal years 2011 and 2012. To the extent the subsidy is unavailable or insufficient, or Chula Vista experiences unexpected enrollment declines, cash flows available for lease payments may be insufficient to meet annual obligations. Fitch views this risk as manageable at the current rating level given the track record of enrollment strength and financial stability at the various HTH schools. Similar to Chula Vista, Media Arts has generated a breakeven to positive operating margin over the past several years, driven also by solid demand and modest enrollment growth.

HTH relies upon conservative budgeting and financial management practices to mitigate the impact of recent and expected future reductions in per pupil operating revenues (PPOR) from the state of California (general obligation bonds rated 'A-' by Fitch). As is typical for charter schools, PPOR represents the largest funding source for all Group schools, including both Chula Vista and Media Arts where PPOR represented approximately two thirds of each school's fiscal 2010 operating revenue. Among other measures undertaken to offset declines in PPOR (between 7%-12% depending on grade level) during fiscal 2010, HTH management implemented salary freezes, reduced contributions to health benefits, and initiated staff reductions across the Group. In addition, most of the HTH schools utilized their extensive waiting lists to add additional students to generate higher revenues. Consequently, debt service coverage for the bonds continues to be basically in line with projections. The lease payment paid by Media Arts to HTH provides adequate coverage for its related debt service obligation. As discussed above, Chula Vista requires a subsidy to meet its lease payment obligation. Per the series 2008 loan agreement, HTH covered total debt service on the bonds by a solid 1.56 times (x) in fiscal 2010, well above the 1.20x minimum rate covenant

HTH's expansion plans over the past few years were fairly aggressive and significantly increased its financial leverage. Debt currently outstanding totals $68.4 million, up from just $13.3 million in fiscal 2006. It is currently constructing new elementary and middle schools on the Chula Vista campus, which are scheduled to open in August 2011. To date, these schools have received substantial interest, with applications exceeding available spaces. HTH also added the new North County high school and middle school, which are located in San Marcos, California, in 2008 and 2009, respectively. The middle school is currently operating in a temporary facility, and HTH intends to begin construction on a permanent facility later this year. The Chula Vista project is being financed with $12 million of qualified school construction bonds (QSCBs, included in the $68.4 million debt figure above) and gifts, which have already been raised. The North County project is anticipated to be financed in the same manner, with $3.95 million of QSCBs expected to be issued later this year and $4.5 million in gifts.

HTH Learning is the parent of the four-member HTH Group: High Tech High, High Tech High Foundation, High Tech High Graduate School of Education, and Explorer Elementary Charter School. High Tech High operates eight public charter schools in San Diego County, California, including Chula Vista and Media Arts.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

--'Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria' (Oct. 8, 2010);

--'High Tech High Learning, California' (Feb. 15, 2008);

--'Criteria for Rating Charter Schools' (Jan. 23, 2007).

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=564565

High Tech High Learning, California (California Municipal Finance Authority) - ser 2008A-C

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=372642

Criteria for Rating Charter Schools

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=311604

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.

Fitch Ratings
Primary Analyst
Colin Walsh, +1-212-908-0767
Director
Fitch, Inc., One State Street Plaza, New York, NY 10004
or
Secondary Analyst
Douglas J. Kilcommons, +1-212-908-0740
Senior Director
or
Committee Chairperson
Laura Porter, +1-212-908-0575
Managing Director
or
Media Relations:
Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526
Email: cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com



 
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