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Fitch Downgrades Glenwood Springs Rural Fire Protection Dist, CO's LTGOs to 'BBB'; Outlook Negative

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AUSTIN, Texas - (BUSINESS WIRE) - Fitch Ratings has downgraded the following Glenwood Springs Rural Fire Protection District, Colorado (the district) bonds as part of its routine surveillance:

--$745,000 limited tax general obligation (LTGO) bonds to 'BBB' from 'AA-'.

The Rating Outlook is Negative.

RATING RATIONALE:

--The downgrade to 'BBB' from 'AA-' reflects the district's dramatically deteriorated financial flexibility driven by unanticipated expenditure increases and structural imbalances, resulting in nearly-depleted reserves.

--The Negative Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation that financial operations will remain strained given the likelihood of continued structural imbalances due to projections of sizeable taxable value declines.

--Operating expenditures have outpaced revenue for eight years in a row including fiscal 2010, when operating revenue increased 33%.

--The district has very limited flexibility to raise general operating revenues.

--Offsetting some concerns are the district's limited purpose, ability to raise the debt service millage, and very low overall debt burden with no plans for additional issuance.

WHAT COULD TRIGGER A DOWNGRADE?

--The district's inability to adjust operating expenditures to match available revenue;

--Further depletion of fund balance.

SECURITY:

The bonds are secured by pledged revenues from the LTGO mill levy on all taxable property within the district at a rate not to exceed 3.126 mills.

CREDIT SUMMARY:

The downgrade reflects the district's deteriorating financial flexibility driven by unanticipated expenditure increases and the adherence to statutory revenue growth limitations which were waived by voters over a decade earlier. By fiscal year-end 2009, the unreserved general fund balance had declined drastically to a negligible $26,000 or just 5% of total spending, from $304,000, or 67% of spending in fiscal 2004. Fiscal 2009 reflected the eighth consecutive annual operating deficit, with another drawdown anticipated for 2010 and budget stabilization a challenge for the future. The Negative Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation that financial operations are likely to remain strained given the governing board's inaction in addressing its trend of diminished financial reserves.

Declining reserves result from both rising fire protection costs and constrained revenue growth. The former resulted when the city's fire department was required to hire additional staff in order to address concerns raised by their insurance company. Revenue constraints derived from the district's belief that a 1994 voter approved waiver of Tax Payer Bill of Rights (TABOR) statutory growth limit did not apply to the district's property tax revenues. As a result, the district continued to rebate property tax revenues in excess of the TABOR limit back to taxpayers. However, in 2010, the district decided to cease the rebates based on an independent legal opinion that the 1994 waiver applied to the district. The district and the city also adopted a revised intergovernmental agreement for 2011 that lowered costs for fire protection in the near term by shifting costs to the city, but this agreement must be renewed annually.

Despite the relief in revenue, results for fiscal 2010 are estimated to be negative, further reducing the unreserved fund balance to 2% of spending. Even without the TABOR limitation, revenues are likely to be constrained given projections of sizeable assessed value declines impacting the fiscal 2012 budget. The general operating millage has been set at its cap of 6.339 mills for the past two fiscal years; increasing the rate would require voter approval.

The district spans 67 square miles in unincorporated Garfield County in northwestern Colorado, approximately 160 miles west of Denver. The district's population is estimated at 9,100 as of 2009. It is an independent taxing entity with limited functions, and operates under an intergovernmental agreement with the city of Glenwood Springs (the city) since 1991, whereby the city provides fire protection and ambulance service in return for a proportional share of the district's property tax revenues.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

In addition to the sources of information identified in Fitch's Tax-Supported Rating Criteria, this action was additionally informed by information from Creditscope, University Financial Associates, LoanPerformance, Inc., and IHS Global Insight.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

--'Tax-Supported Rating Criteria' (Oct. 16, 2010);

--'U.S. Local Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria' (Oct. 8, 2010).

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Tax-Supported Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=548605

U.S. Local Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=564566

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.

Fitch, Inc.
111 Congress Ave., Suite 2010
Austin, TX 78701
Primary Analyst
Matt Dustin, +1-512-215-3727
Analyst
or
Secondary Analyst
Jose Acosta, +1-512-215-3726
Senior Director
or
Committee Chairperson
Amy Laskey, +1-212-908-0568
or
Media Relations
Cindy Stoller, +1 212-908-0526
cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com



 
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