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Fitch Rates Roma ISD, TX ULT Bonds 'AAA' PSF; 'A+' Underlying

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NEW YORK - (BUSINESS WIRE) - Fitch Ratings assigns an 'AAA' rating to the following Roma Independent School District, Texas' (Roma ISD or the district) unlimited tax (ULT) bonds based on a guarantee provided by the Texas Permanent School Fund (PSF), whose Insurer Financial Strength is rated 'AAA' by Fitch:

--$11.035 million ULT school building bonds, series 2010.

In addition, Fitch assigns an underlying 'A+' rating to the series 2010 bonds. The series 2010 bonds are expected to sell via negotiation on Aug. 25, 2010.

Fitch also affirms the district's underlying rating on the following bonds:

--Approximately $61.3 million in outstanding ULT bonds at 'A+'.

The Rating Outlook is Stable.

RATING RATIONALE:

--Roma ISD employs sound financial management evidenced by favorable financial performance and solid general fund balance reserve levels.

--The district is a low property wealth district and as a result, benefits from substantial state support for operations and debt service.

--The district's limited tax base is highly concentrated in oil and gas production, and fluctuations in energy prices creates some volatility in property values, as evidenced by the recent drop in taxable assessed valuation (TAV).

--The district enjoys strong voter support for operating levy increases as well as debt to fund capital needs.

--Debt levels are moderate after adjusting for substantial state support and no additional borrowing is planned, although amortization is slow.

KEY RATING DRIVERS:

--Maintenance of healthy general fund reserves is an essential credit consideration.

SECURITY:

The bonds are secured by an unlimited ad valorem tax pledge of the district. In addition, the series 2010 bonds are secured by the Texas PSF guarantee.

CREDIT SUMMARY:

Roma ISD is located in south Texas in Starr County along the U.S.-Mexican border. The sparsely populated 490-square-mile county has experienced modest population growth in recent years. Enrollment has modestly increased at an annual average rate of approximately 1% since 2004 but is projected to accelerate to 3% annually for the next 2-3 years. District officials report a recent upswing in enrollment as families relocate to the district due to economic and safety concerns in Mexico. The county's economy is limited and based on agriculture and mineral production, including natural gas. Typical of many Texas border communities, unemployment rates are high and wealth indicators are well below state and national norms.

Accounting for a large portion of its tax base, mineral values have demonstrated volatility over the last several fiscal years, affecting Roma ISD's TAV; the district anticipates a moderate decline in TAV for fiscal 2011. Additionally, there is considerable concentration among the district's top 10 taxpayers, which comprise nearly 40% of the district's TAV. As a low property wealth district, Roma ISD receives substantial state funding support for operating and debt service support, which helps to buffer the district somewhat from fluctuations in mineral values.

State program revenues provide about 80% of operating revenues. Sound financial management is evidenced by the district's healthy reserve levels, which have also improved as a result of a significant $0.13 per $100 TAV tax levy hike approved by voters in fiscal 2008, the maximum allowed by state law. Audited fiscal 2009 results show an approximate $2 million operating surplus, increasing the unreserved general fund balance to a large $21.2 million or 42% of expenditures and transfers out. Fiscal 2010 results will reflect a modest drawdown of general fund reserves, decreasing the unreserved general fund balance to roughly $19 million-$20 million or about 35% of budgeted expenditures. The small drawdown is reportedly due to capital expenditures associated with an upcoming replacement of the district's early childhood education center. The district anticipates adopting a balanced budget for fiscal 2011 by Aug. 30.

This issuance comprises the last installment of the $26 million authorization approved in May 2007 by a strong 82% voter majority. Proceeds will be used to construct a replacement building for the district's early childhood education center. The district's direct debt burden on a per capita basis is about average at approximately $752 per capita and 2.4% of market value, after adjusting for state support for a very high 89% of the district's outstanding debt. Overall debt levels are moderately higher at $1,171 per capita and 3.7% of market value. Principal amortization is slow at 33% in 10 years. District facilities are relatively new or have been recently renovated and officials cite that sufficient capacity is available to accommodate projected enrollment growth. As a result, there are no additional borrowing plans.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'

In addition to the sources of information identified in the Tax-Supported Rating Criteria, this action was additionally informed by information from Creditscope, University Financial Associates, LoanPerformance, Inc., IHS Global Insight.

Related Research:

--'Tax-Supported Rating Criteria', dated Aug. 16, 2010.

--'U.S. Local Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria', dated Dec. 21, 2009.

For information on Build America Bonds, visit www.fitchratings.com/BABs.

Related Research:

Tax-Supported Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=548605

U.S. Local Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=492470

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.

Fitch Ratings
Primary Analyst
Jaissy A. Lorenzo, +1-212-908-9167
Analyst
1 State Street Plaza
New York, NY 10004
or
Mark Campa, +1-512-215-3727
Senior Director
or
Committee Chairperson
Jose Acosta, +1-512-215-3726
Senior Director
or
Media Relations
Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526, New York
cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com



 
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