Published: November 20, 2009
Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Bank of America, MGIC, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Gymboree Corp.
CHICAGO - (BUSINESS WIRE) - Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog.
Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and
events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently
featured in the blog include: Bank of America (NYSE: BAC),
MGIC (NYSE: MTG),
Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM),
Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE)
and Gymboree Corp. (Nasdaq: GYMB).
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Here are highlights from Thursday's Analyst Blog:
Mortgage Delinquencies: Record High
The delinquency rate is going up much faster than foreclosures are being
started. With unemployment high and rising, it is hard to see a lot of
those delinquencies getting cured. Either the lenders will have to let
people live indefinitely in their houses without paying (unlikely that
the banks would be so generous) or we will see another huge wave of
foreclosures coming.
The absolute number of houses that are either in foreclosure or 90 days
or more past due now exceeds the number of existing homes available for
sale. That is a huge overhang of shadow inventory (although some of it
is out of the shadows and currently listed for sale) that should
continue to put pressure on housing prices, even with all the
extraordinary government support trying to prop up housing prices.
While unemployment is one serious driver of mortgage foreclosures
because it affects the ability to pay, falling home prices are another
driver. An underwater home is a home that is at high risk of going into
foreclosure. It is simply economically irrational to continue to make
payments on a $500,000 mortgage that is secured by a property that is
only worth $400,000. This, then, continues the vicious cycle, where
falling prices lead to foreclosures, which leads to more distressed
supply, which leads to further pressure on home prices that in turn
leads to yet more foreclosures.
The entire mortgage complex is not yet out of the woods. That complex
includes the big banks like Bank of America (NYSE: BAC),
the mortgage insurers like MGIC (NYSE: MTG)
as well as Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM)
and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE).
My inclination is to avoid all of them.
Gymboree Beats, but Outlook Down
The Gymboree Corp. (Nasdaq: GYMB)
reported its fiscal third quarter results after the closing bell on
Wednesday. The company posted earnings of $34.8 million, a growth of
12.6% from $30.9 million recorded in the year-ago period. Earnings per
share came in at $1.15, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of
$1.13.
Gymboree is a specialty retailer offering apparel and accessories for
children under the Gymboree, Gymboree Outlet, Janie and Jack and Crazy 8
Brands, as well as play programs under the Gymboree Play & Music brand.
At the end of October 2009, the company operated a total of 951 stores
across the U.S., Canada and in Puerto Rico.
The company reported a nearly 2% increase in total sales to $269.1
million during the quarter, compared to $264.1 million in the year-ago
quarter. The expansion was primarily driven by the addition of 78 new
stores in the last one year period, partially offset by a 4% decline in
same-store sales. During the quarter, the company opened a total of 25
new stores including six Gymboree stores, four Gymboree Outlets and 15
Crazy 8 stores.
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