Published: November 20, 2009
Fitch Downgrades MSC 2006-SRR2; Removes from Watch Negative
NEW YORK - (BUSINESS WIRE) - Fitch Ratings has downgraded and removed from Rating Watch Negative 17
classes issued by MSC 2006-SRR2 as a result of significant negative
credit migration of the commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS)
collateral within the reference portfolio. A complete list of rating
actions follows at the end of this press release.
Since Fitch's last rating action in January 2009, approximately 65% of
the portfolio has been downgraded, and 48.3% was placed on Rating Watch
Negative. Approximately 93.3% of the portfolio has a Fitch derived
rating below investment grade and 8.3% has a rating in the 'CCC' rating
category or lower, compared to 1.7% and 0% at last review.
This transaction was analyzed under the framework described in the
report 'Global Rating Criteria for Structured Finance CDOs' using the
Portfolio Credit Model (PCM) for projecting future default levels for
the underlying portfolio. The degree of correlated default risk of this
reference collateral is high given the single sector CMBS and vintage
concentrations. Further, in its review Fitch analyzed the structure's
sensitivity to continued negative performance of CMBS, specifically
regarding the likelihood of negative rating movement within the next one
to two years for CMBS indicated by a Negative Outlook on a bond.
Fitch's loss expectation approximates the credit enhancement available
to the class A-2 notes, indicating a real possibility for default. The
class A-2 notes have been assigned a 'CCC' rating. For the class A-1
notes, the credit enhancement provided by the class A-2 notes and below
is insufficient to warrant ratings for this class above the 'CCC' rating
category.
Fitch's loss expectation exceeds the credit enhancement available to
class B and all other junior classes. Given the high probability of
default of the underlying assets and the expected limited recovery
prospects upon default, class B through J have been assigned a 'CC'
rating, indicating that default is probable.
For classes K through Q, Fitch assigned the ratings based on the amount
of underlying assets experiencing interest shortfalls and assets with a
Fitch derived rating of 'CC' or lower. These classes have been assigned
a 'C' rating indicating that default is inevitable.
MSC 2006-SRR2 is a static synthetic CDO transaction issued in December
2006 that references a US$1.2 billion portfolio of CMBS securities. The
reference portfolio is composed 66.7% CMBS assets from the 2006 vintage
and 33.3% from the 2005 vintage. The transaction is designed to provide
credit protection for realized losses on a reference portfolio through a
credit default swap (CDS) between the issuer and the swap counterparty,
Morgan Stanley Capital Services Inc. (MSCS). The swap counterparty
guarantor is Morgan Stanley.
Proceeds from the securities are invested in a pool of highly rated
eligible investments, which are currently held in a liquidity fund.
Collateral market value risk is mitigated through a total return swap
(TRS) agreement between the issuer and the TRS counterparty, MSCS.
Fitch has downgraded the following classes as indicated:
--$72,000,000 class A-1 notes to 'CCC' from 'BBB';
--$90,000,000 class A-2 notes to 'CCC' from 'BBB-';
--$38,400,000 class B notes to 'CC' from 'BB+';
--$28,200,000 class C notes to 'CC' from 'BB+';
--$12,600,000 class D notes to 'CC' from 'BB+';
--$14,800,000 class E notes to 'CC' from 'BB';
--$12,200,000 class F notes to 'CC' from 'BB';
--$11,610,000 class G notes to 'CC' from 'BB';
--$18,750,000 class H notes to 'CC' from 'BB-';
--$9,360,000 class J notes to 'CC' from 'B+';
--$16,080,000 class K notes to 'C' from 'B';
--$12,480,000 class L notes to 'C' from 'B';
--$6,510,000 class M notes to 'C' from 'CCC';
--$2,970,000 class N notes to 'C' from 'CCC';
--$5,040,000 class O notes to 'C' from 'CCC';
--$2,160,000 class P notes to 'C' from 'CCC';
--$1,320,000 class Q notes to 'C' from 'CCC.
In addition, classes A-1 through L have been removed from Rating Watch
Negative.
These rating actions reflect the application of Fitch's current criteria
which are available at 'www.fitchratings.com'
and specifically include the following reports:
--'Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance Transactions' (Oct. 22,
2009);
--'Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria' (Sept. 30, 2009);
--'Global Rating Criteria for Synthetic CDOs' (March 9, 2009);
--'Global Rating Criteria for Structured Finance CDOs' (Dec. 16, 2008).
Additional information is available at www.fitchratings.com.
ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND
DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING
THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS.
IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE
AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'.
PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS
SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS
OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES
AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF
THIS SITE.
Fitch Ratings, New York
Karen Trebach, +1-212-908-0215
Jenny
Story, +1-212-908-0302
Media Relations:
Sandro Scenga,
+1-212-908-0278
sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com
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