The Leavey Center for the Study of Los Angeles at Loyola Marymount University Announces Initial Results from Its 2008 Presidential Primary Exit Poll in the City of Los Angeles: Angelenos Say War and Change Are Keys to the Presidency

LOS ANGELES, Feb. 7 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- The Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles at Loyola Marymount University announced initial results on presidency questions from its 2008 Presidential Primary Exit Poll in the city ofLos Angeles that was conducted on February 5, 2008.

"According to our Presidential Primary Exit Poll, Angelenos, as a group, voted for their candidate of choice because of the War inIraq, their position on the issues and ability to bring change," said Fernando Guerra, Ph.D., Leavey Center director and associate professor of political science and chicana/o studies.

The Leavey Center Exit Poll showed that 46 percent of Angelenos thought the War inIraq was the most important issue in casting their vote for President, followed by jobs and the economy (42 percent), healthcare (23 percent) and education (23 percent).

Democrats also favored a candidate who had experience and strong leadership qualities, while Republicans thought that religion, honesty and integrity were also important.

"Angelenos who cast votes for Clinton and Obama varied by ethnic background, gender and income level, but not by their age," said Jennifer Magnabosco, Ph.D., Leavey Center associate director and senior research associate. "This kind of split did not occur on the Republican side as women and men were about even in their votes for McCain and Romney."

Angelenos who voted in the Democratic primary who were white (57 percent) and black (85 percent) voted for Obama, while Latinos (67 percent) and Asians (50 percent) voted for Clinton. More women voted for Clinton (50 percent) versus more men who voted for Obama (58 percent). Angelenos who made less than $40,000 a year voted for Clinton while those who made more than $40,000 voted for Obama.

In the Republican primary, Angeleno votes were close between McCain and Romney as 34 percent of women voted for McCain and 37 percent for Romney. Similarly, 32 percent of men voted for McCain and 38 percent voted for Romney.

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll Initial Results 2/7/08 (1 p.m.)

    City of Los Angeles
    Which general issues were most important to you in deciding how you
    voted for president today?

    War in Iraq             46%
    Jobs/Economy            42%
    Healthcare              23%
    Education               23%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll Margin ±3%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll Initial Results 2/7/08 (1 p.m.)

    Democrats

    In the election for President, for whom did you vote?

                                     Clinton      Obama    Other
    City of Los Angeles                 43%        52%       5%
    Female                              50%        46%       4%
    Male                                35%        58%       7%
    White                               37%        57%       6%
    Latino                              67%        28%       5%
    Black                               11%        86%       3%
    Asians                              50%        46%       4%
    18 to 34                            45%        50%       5%
    35 to 64                            42%        54%       4%
    65 and over                         44%        47%       9%
    Less than 40k                       49%        45%       6%
    40k to 79k                          45%        50%       5%
    More than 80k                       37%        58%       5%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll City ofLos Angeles Margin ±3%; Gender Margin ±4%; Race Margin ±5%; Income Margin ±5%; Gender Margin ±4%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll Initial Results 2/7/08 (1 p.m.)

    Democrats

    What do you like most about the presidential candidate for whom you
    just voted?
                                     Clinton      Obama
    Experience                          28%        23%
    Position on issues                  44%        43%
    Can bring change                    39%        57%
    Strong leadership                   31%        22%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll

Margin ±5%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll Initial Results 2/7/08 (1 p.m.)

    Republicans

    In the election for President, for whom did you vote?

                                   McCain      Romney       Other
    City of Los Angeles              34%         37%          29%
    Female                           34%         37%          29%
    Male                             32%         38%          30%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll City ofLos Angeles Margin ±6%; Gender Margin ±7%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll Initial Results 2/7/08 (1 p.m.)

    Republicans

    What do you like most about the presidential candidate for whom you
    just voted?

    All Republican Voters
    Position on issues         36%
    Religion                   35%
    Can bring change           28%
    Honesty and integrity      22%

2008 Leavey Center for the Study ofLos Angeles Presidential Primary Exit Poll

Margin ±6%

Initial results are based on 1,800 random and ethnically-representative residents in the city ofLos Angeles, who voted at the polls, and completed anonymous self-administered surveys (with a margin of error +/-5 percent) in 50 precincts. Nearly 200 LMU students distributed and collected exit poll surveys in 50 precincts and input data for data analyses.

This effort is part of The Leavey Center's longitudinal effort to implement new sampling methodology called the "racially stratified homogenous precinct approach." This new method addresses limitations in standard exit poll sampling that typically has not provided accurate sampling of ethnic groups in urban settings. The 2008 Leavey Center Presidential Primary Exit Poll is designed to study the relationships between voting preferences, ethnic relations, policy preferences, community attitudes, government and community action, and quality of life; and investigate the effects of precinct qualities on voting patterns.

The Leavey Center conducted similar exit polls and studies of precinct quality in 2003-2005.

The 2008 Leavey Center Presidential Primary Exit Poll was conducted by Co-Principal Investigators: Fernando Guerra, Ph.D., director of the Leavey Center and associate professor at Loyola Marymount University; Jennifer Magnabosco, Ph.D., Leavey Center associate director and senior research associate; Mara Marks, Ph.D., LMU assistant professor and Leavey Center senior research fellow; and Stephen Nuno, M.A., A.B.D., Leavey Center research associate. Faculty Collaborators include: Lance Blakesley, Ph.D., LMU professor, political science; Robert Singleton, Ph.D., LMU associate professor, economics; Richard Fox, Ph.D., LMU associate professor, political science; Matt Barreto, Ph.D., University of Washington assistant professor, political science and Leavey Center research scholar; Collaborator Nathan Woods, Ph.D., director, Welch Consulting and Leavey Center research scholar. TheLos Angeles Votes for President: Exit Polls of the 2008 Presidential Primary and General Elections in the City ofLos Angeles Research Project was funded by a research grant provided by The John Randolph Haynes and Dora Haynes Foundation.

SOURCE Loyola Marymount University

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