Published:
AEY, Taking ADDvantage of the Triple-Play Convergence

CATV equipment distributor ADDvantage
Technologies Group (AMEX: AEY) has been chosen for this week's "SPOT
Feature" in the Knobias Small-Cap ClipReport. Each week, Knobias scours the
small-cap universe to find overlooked companies with sound fundamentals and
one or more growth catalysts on the horizon. The weekly "SPOT" feature may
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AEY, Taking ADDvantage of the Triple-Play Convergence
ADDvantage Technologies Group (AMEX: AEY) supplies the cable television
industry with a comprehensive line of new and used system-critical network
equipment and hardware from manufacturers, including Scientific-Atlanta and
Motorola, as well as operating a national network of technical repair
centers. ADDvantage operates through its subsidiaries, Tulsat, NCS
Industries, ComTech Services, Jones Broadband International, and Broadband
Remarketing.
The BULLS Say...
New Cycles, New Markets, Less Sellers. Who benefits as cable companies,
telecoms and utilities all battle for the
"triple-play"? Regardless of who wins the triple-play battles, the CATV
equipment makers and distributors will win the war. New technology and
services have started a big equipment upgrade cycle in the U.S. and
improving economies in Latin and South America are creating new demand for
services and equipment. AEY finished a record FY05 in September and is on
pace to beat that by double-digits in FY06, yet the stock is down nearly
-50% from $9 highs and trades at a mere 9.4 P/E. Selling pressure from
option transactions and 2 sequential declines (Q1/Q2) have pushed AEY to
historically low valuations. The market has yet to realize that the seller
is done and the last 2 quarters, though down sequentially vs all-time
record quarters, were actually double-digit gainers Y/Y. As AEY expands
relationships, territories and capabilities, its 2 best quarters may be
ahead.
The BEARS Say...
More Selling Could Break Key Support. Hopefully the big block selling is
finished, but that was all spawned from the two leaders of AEY, the Chymiak
brothers. Nothing wrong with insider diversification, but worth noting. Any
negative news or more selling could cause AEY to lose this very important
support level.
About the Small-Cap ClipReport
Most small-cap newsletters just tout stocks. Instead, the ClipReport
provides a comprehensive, journalistic view of each day's small-cap action.
This nightly, 10-page PDF email consolidates actionable information and
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About the Weekly SPOT
Each week, Knobias scours the small-cap universe to find overlooked
companies with sound fundamentals and one or more growth catalyst on the
horizon. This search typically features a small-cap stock exhibiting strong
growth while undervalued relative to public peers. SPOT selections tend to
be "under-priced" due to lack of coverage or a failure for the marketplace
to fully understand "the story." SPOT companies must meet the same basic
criteria as our Small-Cap ClipReport, i.e. under $500M marketcap...banks,
ETFs, funds and utilities are excluded. Furthermore, SPOT selections must
be fundamentally sound with growth, profitability (or near) and clear
prospects for price appreciation. Knobias is never compensated for SPOT
selections, and NO position will
be held in SPOT stocks by Knobias, its management or staff while the
stock is being highlighted.
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