Published: August 25, 2005
Op-Ed Contributor
Crossfire War: Russia - China Naval Exercises Practice Blockade
By Willard Payne
Crossfire War: Northeast Asia; Russia - China Naval Exercises Practice Blockade - China Attempts to Integrate Russian Weapons Systems
Night Watch: SHANDONG PENNINSIULA/YELLOW SEA - The most interesting aspect of these eight-day maneuvers between Moscow - Beijing is performing a naval blockade.
These are the first major war games, land, sea and air ever carried out by both nations that have a very long history of rivalry over who can control Central Asia. The border disputes that erupted during the first half of the 1960’s sometimes involved units on a regimental scale and became so intense that Moscow came close to launching an all out nuclear attack on China in 1975.
During the 1980’s a greater threat to both of them emerged as a result of the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Islam. Though Beijing has been eager to arm the Jihad, knowing that its primary targets are the West, Russia and India, China’s Central Government is aware that its rule of China’s Islamic province, Xinjiang has not been met with popular support. Beijing also knows that if relations sour between them and Tehran-Ankara then the Jihad could be launched in that area with the intention of becoming East Turkestan once again.
Moscow-Beijing also realize that China’s military unity is a unity in name only and Russia may have found some Chinese units they can incorporate and work with concerning Central Asia. That may be the message these manuevers are meant to convey to the military obervers, Xinhua news agency, said were invited from the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, and four Central Asian states.
I suspect that Beijing wants to show Central Asia that if need be the Beijing can achieve its aim of access to the region’s resources by working with Moscow instead it currently doing so with Tehran. Alliances, partnerships, arrangements and MoU’s, in the region can shift with the wind.
Both Moscow - Beijing that a crucial part of defeating the Jihad is to cut off its supply routes and that would require an effective blockade against at least Iran who is also able to manufacture and ship weaponry. Malaysia could also be targeted since Kuala Lumpur has also played an important role in the Islamic world’s ability to have nuclear weapons. Other blockade targets could be Turkey and Libya-Tunisia.
When Tehran-Tunis announced an increase in their cultural relations this site mentioned how strategic their military-cultural cooperation could become since Tunisia is in the middle of the Mediterranean and where the sea is so narrow it reduces the range missiles would have to travel to hit Europe.
If Beijing proves unable to cooperate seriously with Moscow, or other Allied navies during the war, and that is quite possible with China’s level of corruption and their coming war with Japan - U. S., there should be plenty of other Allied militaries Moscow can work with to secure Russia’s south.
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